You’re trying to insult me instead of understand where I’m coming from. If Vegas paid out $125 + $100 for every $100 you bet on a cindaidate that they believed would win, they wouldn’t be Vegas. It would be a losing proposition that would. Be exploited. If you look st the first link, the Dems and Repubs have an even chance of winning the presidency. -115 and -115. However, trump isn’t guaranteed to be the noninaee, so his personal odds are lower. He could be impeached and removed (unlikely), pass away, step down, etc. this all puts the Dems more likely than trump to win the presidency, based solely on their numbers.
I guess it’s more complex than I thought it was to understand how it works. I’ll just have to accept that not all can follow the logic I guess. No problem.