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New study says Yes Russia's attack on the US did help Trump win.

D

Deleted member 21794

Guest
You're just repeating more Russian troll farm propaganda like a good little soldier.

All of the Russian individuals charged so far in connection to the interference operation have declined to answer the accusations in court and are believed to be safely in Russia, outside the reach of U.S. law enforcement.

They aren't here to put on trial and any further action would be up to Trump's DOJ.
And as we know Trump is extremely afraid of Putin and will back down to him on this issue in the future just as he has done in the past and is doing now.
So basically, you know Mueller's indictment was a stunt. The Russians' attorney called Mueller on his bluff, demanding a speedy trial. Mueller has been stalling ever since. And once it just goes away because it was total BS, you'll blame the Trump administration for being friendly with the Russians.
 

Bugsy McGurk

President
So basically, you know Mueller's indictment was a stunt. The Russians' attorney called Mueller on his bluff, demanding a speedy trial. Mueller has been stalling ever since. And once it just goes away because it was total BS, you'll blame the Trump administration for being friendly with the Russians.



The Russians’ attorney demanded a speedy trial for the Russians who refuse to appear for trial? Yer a hoot.

But hey, we can count on Trump and Baghdad Barr to vigorously prosecute Trump’s Kremlin cronies, no?

;-)
 

Winston

Do you feel lucky, Punk
Of course the GOP knows this and it is assuredly the reason they have tirelessly worked to block any efforts to protect America and prevent future Russian attacks on our electoral system.
They are traitors betraying our country right before our eyes.



Discussion and conclusions

Here we have (a) examined the timing of the IRA Twitter activity, which suggests a strategic release in parallel with significant political events before the 2016 election and (b) used vector autoregression (VAR) to test if the success of IRA activity on Twitter predicted changes in the 2016 election opinion polls. On a weekly time scale, we find that multiple time series of IRA tweet success robustly predicted increasing opinion polls for one candidate, but not the other. The opinion polls do not predict future success of the IRA tweets. The findings proved robust to many different checks.


The result, a one percent poll increase for the Republican candidate for every 25,000 weekly re-tweets of IRA messages, raises two questions about the effect: one regarding the magnitude and one regarding its asymmetry.


Here we have tested prediction, not causality. It seems unlikely that 25,000 re-tweets could influence one percent of the electorate in isolation (Guess, et al., 2019; Allcott, et al., 2019), although this might be more plausible than presumed at first glance, given that only about four percent of viewed tweets result in re-retweets (Lee, et al., 2015), such that 25,000 re-tweets could imply about 500,000 exposures to those messages per week. It is more likely, however, that Twitter is just a subset of a larger disinformation campaign carried out on multiple social media platforms (Issac and Wakabayashi, 2017; Howard, et al., 2018), as well as spread through social contagion (Centola, 2010) and to other parts of the interconnected ‘media ecosystem’ including print, radio and television (Benkler, et al., 2018). In this way IRA disinformation can frame the debate, meaning many more people than those directly exposed can be affected (Jamieson, 2018).


Any correlation established by an observational study could be spurious. Though our main finding has proved robust and our time series analysis excludes reverse causation, there could still be a third variable driving the relationship between IRA Twitter success and U.S. election opinion polls. We controlled for one of these — the success of Donald Trump’s personal Twitter account — but there are others that are more difficult to measure; including exposure to the U.S domestic media.


The asymmetrical effect we observed could be because specific groups and media outlets were targeted by the IRA (Jamieson, 2018; Miller, 2019) and those media outlets were particularly susceptible to disinformation (Benkler, et al., 2018), leading to considerably more re-tweets from those targeted groups (Badawy, et al., 2018).


We use macro-level data to establish a link between exposure to IRA disinformation and changes in U.S. public opinion. However, using aggregated data means we cannot know the extent to which the participants in election polls were exposed to IRA disinformation. This may not matter once social contagion (Centola, 2010) and media ecosystem effects (Benkler, et al., 2018) are taken into consideration. Nonetheless, establishing individual-level causal mechanisms should be a priority (Gerber and Zavisca, 2016; Spaiser, et al., 2017).


Here we have presented evidence that social media disinformation can measurably change public opinion polls. Though we focused on a particular high-profile example in 2016, social media propaganda is a growing problem affecting voting populations around the world, regardless of affiliation, and ought to be given serious attention in the future. Our study motivates future investigation that seeks to establish the causal mechanisms of disinformation exposure on the opinions and behavior of individuals. These future studies should measure exposure to all media in the media ecosystem, not just social media
.
Great news, let's hope Trump gets world support again
 

Spamature

President
So basically, you know Mueller's indictment was a stunt. The Russians' attorney called Mueller on his bluff, demanding a speedy trial. Mueller has been stalling ever since. And once it just goes away because it was total BS, you'll blame the Trump administration for being friendly with the Russians.
No. Calling for a speedy trial while you know you will not set foot on US soil is trolling our govt. And of course you defend trolling our govt seeing as the king troll is also your teabagger messiah.
 
D

Deleted member 21794

Guest
No. Calling for a speedy trial while you know you will not set foot on US soil is trolling our govt. And of course you defend trolling our govt seeing as the king troll is also your teabagger messiah.
No.asking for a speedy trial via counsel is legal process. Face it- they called Mueller's bluff. He got punked.
 

Bugsy McGurk

President
So basically, you know Mueller's indictment was a stunt. The Russians' attorney called Mueller on his bluff, demanding a speedy trial. Mueller has been stalling ever since. And once it just goes away because it was total BS, you'll blame the Trump administration for being friendly with the Russians.
Baghdad Barr is on the case, no?

;-)
 

Spamature

President
No.asking for a speedy trial via counsel is legal process. Face it- they called Mueller's bluff. He got punked.
That was a ploy to get Mueller to reveal details of his investigation to Russia. Only a dope couldn't see through that scam.

So of course the scheme was impenetrable to you.
 

Spamature

President
You just proved what I said!?! ha ha

Maybe your guys can fix the hurricane intensity "forumlas". ha ha ha
Different science, you might as well be whining about why they haven't cured cancer or create formulas that exactly predict the movements of the stock market.
 

Bugsy McGurk

President
That was a ploy to get Mueller to reveal details of his investigation to Russia. Only a dope couldn't see through that scam.

So of course the scheme was impenetrable to you.
The Russkies can rest assured that Trump and Baghdad Barr will never lift a finger to get the Kremlin’s election criminals here to stand trial. If anything, Trump has encouraged them to do it again.
 

Nutty Cortez

Dummy (D) NY
The Russkies can rest assured that Trump and Baghdad Barr will never lift a finger to get the Kremlin’s election criminals here to stand trial. If anything, Trump has encouraged them to do it again.

You are still crying over Mueller ? Good God man. I know you are a devout leftist- but even I gave that fairy tale up.

The next people going to jail are the leftists who created this stunt.
 

Mick

The Right is always right
That was a ploy to get Mueller to reveal details of his investigation to Russia. Only a dope couldn't see through that scam.

So of course the scheme was impenetrable to you.

LOL. Back to conspiracy theories again? Why would the Russians care about "details" of the investigation? They know what they have or haven't been doing. If it was slanderous then I could see them demanding to clear their name. Face it, the indictment was for show because Mueller didn't expect any of them to actually challenge it. When they did he stumbled around because he was unprepared. That's a corrupt investigation.
 
D

Deleted member 21794

Guest
That was a ploy to get Mueller to reveal details of his investigation to Russia. Only a dope couldn't see through that scam.

So of course the scheme was impenetrable to you.
Well yes, when you're on trial, you have a right to discovery. That's not a scam, that's called due process. Only a dope wouldn't know this.
 

Mick

The Right is always right
Well yes, when you're on trial, you have a right to discovery. That's not a scam, that's called due process. Only a dope wouldn't know this.
How dare the defense have rights here! Poor spammanute can't even think straight anymore.
 
D

Deleted member 21794

Guest
The Russkies can rest assured that Trump and Baghdad Barr will never lift a finger to get the Kremlin’s election criminals here to stand trial. If anything, Trump has encouraged them to do it again.
Hillaryous, given it was Mueller who was actively seeing to it the case never went to trial. And he was the one who indicted them!

Three years of fake news and you people still get suckered every time!
 
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