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Political scientist's prediction model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of beating Biden in November

reason10

Governor
All Biden has to do is let Trump implode. Trump will say some stupid shit like, "Look at the greatest economy in the history of the world", and the 20% of the population that is unemployed is going to laugh at that delusional cheeto.
WE HAD the greatest economy of all time. And by October all those people will be back at work and the economy will be even better.
But I understand your real motivation here.
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Marcus Aurelius

Governor
Supporting Member
Intelligent people know that the President politically owns the economy. Intelligent people also know that the Buck stops with the president. Intelligent people accept excuses from the president.
So all the liberals here who gave Obama credit for the economy under Trump, were wrong. Got it.
 

reason10

Governor
Trump took full ownership of the economy after the tax cuts.
He OWNS the greatest economy of all time.
The massive job loss is NOT HIS FAULT. It is the fault of Andrew Cuomo, whose incompetence caused the virus to spread throughout the country.

The blue states suffering today are not suffering because of Trump policies. They are suffering because of their Democrat leadership.

Florida is open, and we're ready to EXPLODE in economic growth. Same with Texas and Georgia and other red states.
 

Drumcollie

* See DC's list of Kook posters*
He OWNS the greatest economy of all time.
The massive job loss is NOT HIS FAULT. It is the fault of Andrew Cuomo, whose incompetence caused the virus to spread throughout the country.

The blue states suffering today are not suffering because of Trump policies. They are suffering because of their Democrat leadership.

Florida is open, and we're ready to EXPLODE in economic growth. Same with Texas and Georgia and other red states.
Let's not forget Pelosi had her hands in this too.
 

reason10

Governor
Oh look... a scientist the right believes. What's gonna happen next.
The right believes ALL scientists.

Not lying left wing hacks.

SCIENTISTS.
You might want to look at some real scientists, too, Scooter.
Right now you haven't got any.
 

EatTheRich

President
Look at the factors we know about.

1. Trump is the best president and best leader of all time. He created the greatest economy of all time and fixed our foreign policy. That is almost IMPOSSIBLE to run against.

2. Out of a LARGE group of Democrats running for the office, the party couldn't do any better than a sexist, racist, LIAR.

3. The Democrat party is actually looking more at the running mate as being able to assume the presidency because they believe Joe won't even be able to finish out one term. When that kind of apathy comes from YOUR OWN PARTY, it's over.

4. Trump is a president who survived RUSSIA RUSSIA RUSSIA for three years, OBAMAGATE, an illegal impeachment, etc. The Democrats have NOTHING they can run against him. They can't win on the issues. None of the idiot liberals HERE have any ISSUE related items to complain about Trump. All the idiots can do is throw out the race card.

5. Trump is probably the SMARTEST campaigner in the history of America. He ran his campaign against Clinton like he ran his TEN BILLION DOLLAR international empire. And today, he has the easiest job in the world: Blue states' economies are in the crapper. All he has to do is campaign in them and he'll flip a bunch of seats, as well as get their Electoral votes.

I just look at the facts. There isn't a Democrat alive today who can defeat Trump, the GREATEST PRESIDENT OF ALL TIME in a fair match.
1. Trump is in my opinion (one widely shared) a terrible president, terrible leader, and terrible human being. The economy remained shaky throughout his administration and the progress that had been made prior to his inauguration slowed down. He is better than other recent presidents on foreign policy, but that’s a low bar. His record has a lot of failures to point to.
2. True. But he has a racist, sexist liar to run against as well. So that should offset.
3. So you say.
4. Genocide is an issue!
5. How will he campaign? “Vote for me, I destroyed your economy”?
 

EatTheRich

President
Trump was incredibly divisive from the get-go, and he led us directly into the Trump Depression. The only way Trump can win is drop his base and form a new political identity.
I do think Trump has a very good chance of winning. He can use his executive powers not only to dominate the media but also to suppress the opposition vote. Biden is a very weak candidate. And when the economy bounces up a bit as restrictions on public gatherings are lifted, Trump will be given credit.
 
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