1. Hi there guest! Welcome to PoliticalJack.com. Register for free to join our community?
    Dismiss Notice

Winter is coming

Discussion in 'Environment' started by Jen, Nov 16, 2018.

  1. Jen

    Jen #walkaway

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2011
    Messages:
    43,193
    Likes Received:
    11,239
    https://www.foxnews.com/science/nas...ce-in-months-bringing-record-low-temperatures

    A long cold winter could hit space in months bringing record low temperatures, NASA has warned.

    That's the warning from a scientist who fears sunspot activity on the surface of our star has dropped so low that record low temperatures could soon set in.

    “High above Earth’s surface, near the edge of space, our atmosphere is losing heat energy.

    "If current trends continue, it could soon set a Space Age record for cold.”
     
  2. Dawg

    Dawg President Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Oct 11, 2011
    Messages:
    117,668
    Likes Received:
    20,645
  3. Caroljo

    Caroljo Senator

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2012
    Messages:
    20,513
    Likes Received:
    7,052
    I HATE WINTER! The only reason we stay in Michigan is because of family. I have to say though it's much better now that we're retired...we don't HAVE to leave the house! :)
     
    • Like Like x 2
  4. bdtex

    bdtex Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2011
    Messages:
    14,458
    Likes Received:
    2,045
    So far November has pretty cold down here in the upper Texas Gulf Coast and central Texas. I put thermal underwear on my Christmas list. I like winter. I do a lot of traveling in January and February.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  5. Tor-Pete-O

    Tor-Pete-O Mayor

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2016
    Messages:
    3,765
    Likes Received:
    900
    Where's @Arkady and @EatTheRich to dispute NASA?
     
    • Like Like x 2
  6. EatTheRich

    EatTheRich Senator

    Joined:
    Sep 18, 2012
    Messages:
    45,989
    Likes Received:
    2,385
    I’ve never made a habit of doing so. Or disputing reality in general. Why would you expect me to?

    It’s been a very mild October/November here except for a couple very nasty cold snaps. Got a lot of cold October rain.
     
    • Funny Funny x 1
    Last edited: Nov 22, 2018
  7. Caroljo

    Caroljo Senator

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2012
    Messages:
    20,513
    Likes Received:
    7,052
    We're told this is the coldest November here in about 100 yrs. It went straight from summer to winter....fall was pretty much skipped over this year!
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
  8. bdtex

    bdtex Moderator Staff Member

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2011
    Messages:
    14,458
    Likes Received:
    2,045
    Yep. Same here although it feels like Fall today.
     
  9. Puzzling Evidence

    Puzzling Evidence Free range human living on a tax farm.

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2018
    Messages:
    1,616
    Likes Received:
    206
    Sunspots have a minimal effect upon the over-all temperatures here on earth. We're talking like .01%
     
  10. Puzzling Evidence

    Puzzling Evidence Free range human living on a tax farm.

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2018
    Messages:
    1,616
    Likes Received:
    206
    [​IMG]
    Jan 2019 forecast.
     
    • Like Like x 1
  11. Puzzling Evidence

    Puzzling Evidence Free range human living on a tax farm.

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2018
    Messages:
    1,616
    Likes Received:
    206
    While many residents in the central and eastern United States are expected to endure a cold latter half of October, a pattern flip is in the forecast for November, which could bring milder temperatures back to those who are shivering now.

    Warmer-than-average temperatures are forecast in November from the West Coast to the northern Plains and much of the Midwest, with below-average temperatures likely in the southern Plains, according to the latest outlook from The Weather Company, an IBM Business. The warmest temperatures relative to average should be found in the northern Rockies, northern Plains and upper Midwest.

    (MORE: Pattern Change to Finally Usher in Fall-Like Conditions in East, Midwest)

    A swath from the Southwest to the central Plains, mid-Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley and Northeast is expected to see near- or slightly above-average temperatures during November. Meanwhile, near- or slightly below-average temperatures are forecast from the southern Plains to the Appalachians, Southeast and mid-Atlantic region.

    "We’ve reduced forecast temperatures a bit in the eastern U.S. for November and have increased them across the northern Rockies and Plains, given the expected Arctic Oscillation trends later in the month and the contrarian ECMWF (European model) guidance," said Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist with The Weather Company.

    Crawford said the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) – and positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation – which has prevailed through most of 2018, may finally be fading away. One consequence of this could be an increased chance of colder air reaching parts of the eastern states.

    A positive NAO means an upper-level trough of low pressure is in place near Greenland and typically correlates with warmer temperatures in the eastern United States. When the NAO trends negative, high pressure builds near Greenland, and cold air can be drawn southward into the eastern U.S.

    "Given the evidence discussed, along with the cooler (and historically more reliable) ECMWF ideas for November, we have reduced forecast temperatures across the eastern U.S. and increased them across the northern Plains," Crawford said.

    This overall weather pattern of milder temperatures toward the north and colder temperatures toward the south is currently expected to continue into the start of winter.

    December
    Winter is expected to start out mild for much of the northwestern and north-central states.

    Far above-average temperatures are expected in the Northwest, with warmer-than-average temperatures also anticipated from northern California to the northern Plains, upper Midwest and northern Great Lakes.

    Near- or slightly above-average temperatures are forecast from Southern California and the Southwest to the central Plains, Midwest and Northeast.
     
  12. Puzzling Evidence

    Puzzling Evidence Free range human living on a tax farm.

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2018
    Messages:
    1,616
    Likes Received:
    206
    January
    Temperatures in January are expected to be similar to those in December.

    The warmest temperatures relative to average are forecast across the far northern tier from Washington to North Dakota, with above-average temperatures also expected from northern and central California to the northern Rockies and northern Plains.

    Near- or slightly above-average temperatures are forecast in a broad swath from the Southwest to the central Rockies, central Plains, upper Midwest and interior Northeast.

    Areas along the immediate Gulf Coast and in the Southeast can expect a colder-than-average start to 2019.

    Temperatures are forecast to be near or slightly below average along the Northeast coast and southwestward into the mid-Atlantic states, Appalachians, Ohio Valley, lower and mid-Mississippi Valley and southern Plains.

    This predicted early-winter pattern of relative mildness in the northern states and relative coolness in the southern states is a common trait of El Niño winters. NOAA has issued an El Niño watch and projects a 70 to 75 percent chance of El Niño conditions by winter.
     

Share This Page