Boltlady
Mayor
The following was developed at the Naval War College. It was released yesterday. You may find it's particulars interesting.
1 Apr 2020
Military.com | By Hope Hodge Seck
An infectious disease breaks out in a densely populated metropolis and is spreading rapidly, causing respiratory failure and death in its victims. As local containment and response mechanisms break down and cases multiply, it becomes clear that a global response -- spanning governments, humanitarian organizations, health agencies and the military -- will be required.
That scenario is not a condensed narrative of the COVID-19 pandemic that currently has much of the globe on lockdown. Rather, it's the premise of a war game run last September by the Naval War College (NWC) in Newport, Rhode Island. And its findings -- released in summary format Wednesday -- reveal prescient and sometimes troubling parallels to the real-world response effort that continues today.
Called Urban Outbreak 2019, the war game involved 50 experts who spent two days coordinating response, containment and messaging efforts around the notional pandemic. Some of the conclusions, such as the way forced mass quarantine can backfire and trigger additional disease spread, and how the mortality rate is better than the overall number of disease cases in assessing the scale of an outbreak -- have been proved out through the response to the novel coronavirus.
Other insights specific to the military's response also hit home.
If you click on the part that says "released in summary format" from the 2nd paragraph it should take you to the whole PDF put out by the Naval War College on the thing. Its looks pretty familiar to me for something they were playing back in last September!!!!
(If the link doesn't work I'll try to figure out how to get it out there)
1 Apr 2020
Military.com | By Hope Hodge Seck
An infectious disease breaks out in a densely populated metropolis and is spreading rapidly, causing respiratory failure and death in its victims. As local containment and response mechanisms break down and cases multiply, it becomes clear that a global response -- spanning governments, humanitarian organizations, health agencies and the military -- will be required.
That scenario is not a condensed narrative of the COVID-19 pandemic that currently has much of the globe on lockdown. Rather, it's the premise of a war game run last September by the Naval War College (NWC) in Newport, Rhode Island. And its findings -- released in summary format Wednesday -- reveal prescient and sometimes troubling parallels to the real-world response effort that continues today.
Called Urban Outbreak 2019, the war game involved 50 experts who spent two days coordinating response, containment and messaging efforts around the notional pandemic. Some of the conclusions, such as the way forced mass quarantine can backfire and trigger additional disease spread, and how the mortality rate is better than the overall number of disease cases in assessing the scale of an outbreak -- have been proved out through the response to the novel coronavirus.
Other insights specific to the military's response also hit home.
If you click on the part that says "released in summary format" from the 2nd paragraph it should take you to the whole PDF put out by the Naval War College on the thing. Its looks pretty familiar to me for something they were playing back in last September!!!!
(If the link doesn't work I'll try to figure out how to get it out there)
