PNWest
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From the article:
Over the past 80 years, incumbents have, on average, led their eventual challengers by a little more than 10 points about a year out from the election. This includes nearly every incumbent for whom we have polling since Franklin Roosevelt in 1943.
It includes Barack Obama against Mitt Romney in November 2011. This is notable because a number of Democrats have tried to dismiss the current data showing Biden in trouble by saying that Obama had been behind at this point, too. That simply isn’t true.
In fact, the lone incumbent to be behind in the polls at this point is the man Biden succeeded and is likely to face again: Trump, who trailed Biden by about 10 points in November 2019.
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Biden Keeps Talking About the Old Days. Young Voters Don’t Like It.
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BidenBesties™ are inviting disaster by encouraging Joe Biden to stay in the race. He needs to put his country ahead of his octogenarian ego and drop out. Give a younger and stronger Democrat that can actually beat Trump do the job rather than risking a loss because of his old age and poor record.