What's your opinion of this particular balkanization movement?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balkanization
I’d like to know who drew the map. I think the independence of any of those separate territories labeled on it should be at the discretion of the oppressed people there. Since ethnic groups are played off against each other with cynical intent, and multiple minority groups can be at risk from oppression by the dominant nationality (in today’s Russian Federation, Russians) and from others, let me say, if I were setting up a vote for each of these regions right now, who I think should be allowed to vote on it.
“Republic of Koningsberg” (now Kaliningrad oblast): formerly German/Germanized Baltic community, now largely Russian. Shows no signs of wanting independence, but it does have a considerable Ukrainian minority and with Ukrainian people oppressed by Russians internationally and a Ukrainian state at war with a Russian state, I would support independence regardless of any vote as a measure of military support for Ukraine against a Russian, Polish, Hungarian, or Belarusian threat (as I would for any extra-Russian Federation region named in this map). That war aside, I would support independence on majority vote by the Ukrainian community and the Armenian. Turkic (Tatar, Uzbek, etc.), and Iranian (Azeri, Tajik, etc.) minorities here.
“Republic of Belarus”: an independent former Soviet republic, large majority Belarusian, largest minority and once very large minority/majority in biggest city Ashkenazi Jews. Since it is now independent, the question is under what circumstances it ought to be able to join a union with a neighboring labeled territory, either one that is or is not Russian. Without the support of the sovereign Belarus government I would not support forcible union with any neighbor except as a matter of military necessity in Ukraine’s war against Russia or another progressive war on Russian or German imperialism. Nor should any of the neighboring independent-of-Russia states (Poland, Ukraine, Lithuania, and Latvia) bordering it on the map be so compelled … excepting that as a Yeltsinite (that is, still semi-socialist) and counter-great nationalist regime, Belarus for all its brutal backwardness represents the potential to create new socialist buffer territories of the sort created by the Soviet Union in liberated Eastern Europe and would permissibly annex any neighboring territory labeled on the map to effect socialist revolution or even Stalinist-bureaucratic subversion by a government establishing the dictatorship of the proletariat. Should this or any other country on the map become socialist I would support its right to declare independence and annex any neighboring capitalist territory by any means required for advancing socialist dictatorship or for its defense.
Otherwise, I would support a Belarus merger with the reduced Russian Federation to win independence of the outside labeled territories as independent states (as on the map) for military support of the Ukrainian defense or another progressive nationalist struggle against great nationalism.
Whether joining Belarus or another neighbor or not, I would support independence of the map’s “Russian Federation” if supported by all the oppressed nations whose national struggle are of most social importance and of said region and of the other parts of present-day Russia: that is, a majority vote by each of the following nations: Tatars, Chechens, Jews (Ashkenazi, Karaite, etc.), Uralic in the map’s Russian Federation (Estonian, Sa’ami, Karelian, etc.), and Caucasian major and at least one of the terms as specified below for the independence of territories 3-6 on the map.
The other territories: I would support independence of these states on declaration by a representative regional federative parliament of the constituent areas of Russia or the vote of the parliamentary majority of any of them (or even Kaliningrad or Russia), or any of them on a vote of those with the most socially important struggles In each region as follows:
Idle-Ural Republic: Turkic peoples (Bashkirs, Tatars, Chuvash, etc.).
Circassia: Armenians (who are the largest minority there now despite the map’s name) or other oppressed local major minorities … Tatars, Georgians, or Circassians).
Alania: non-Russian ethnic groups (Ossetians who have a plurality, plus Ingush, Turkic, Armenian, Georgian, Ukrainian, etc.).
Dagestan: people of NE. Caucasian ethnic groups (Avars, Chechens, etc,)
Ichkeria and Ingushetia: Chechen and Ingush.
Siberian Reoublic: majority among 2 of the following 3 oppressed minority groups: Mongolic (Buryat, etc.), Turkic (Tuvan, Tatar, Kazakh, etc.), or Indo-European excluding Slavic and German (Armenian, Romani, Tajik, etc.), and a majority among all people of non-Slavic, non-German minority nations.
Far Eastern Republic: Buryat, with self-determination for the Jewish Autonomous Oblast.
Personally, if I were advising the folks how to vote I’d advocate for an independent Chechnya (Ichkeria and Ingushetia if going by the map), Dagestan, and Ingushetia (if not included in the Ichkeria-Ingushetia prior) in that order and then sit back on further activity.