Apportionment

[Zam-Zam]

Your 2030 apportionment forecast (as of December 2023) is here:



Congressional representation is reapportioned every decade following the completion of the decennial census. The Census Bureau's most recent Population and Housing Unit Estimates were released December 19, 2023.


HIGHLIGHTS & LOWLIGHTS
South Carolina and Texas Lead the Nation
South Carolina grew by 1.7% from July 2022 to July 2023 - gaining 90,600 residents.
Texas gained 473,453 residents (+1.6%) over the same period.

Four States Gained More Than 100,000 Residents from July 2022 to July 2023
Texas: 473,453 (+1.6%)
Florida: 365,205 (+1.6%)
North Carolina: 139,526 (+1.3%)
Georgia: 116,077 (+1.1%)

Six Additional States Grew by At Least 1%
South Carolina: +1.7% (+90,600)
Idaho: +1.3% (+25,730)
Delaware: +1.2% (+12,431)
Tennessee: +1.1% (+77,513)
Utah: +1.1% (+36,498)
South Dakota: +1.0% (+9,449)

California, Illinois, and New York's Decline Continues, but More Slowly
The 2021 estimates showed California losing 358,140 residents (0.9% of the state's population). California's rate of decline slowed to a drop of only 104,444 residents in 2022 (-0.3%) and 75,423 (-0.2%) in 2023.
Illinois lost 0.8% of its population in 2021 and 2022 (-207,842 residents) and another 32,826 (-0.3%) in 2023.
At -2.1%, New York's population decline continues to lead the nation. The Empire State lost 1.2% of its population from July 2020 to July 2021, 0.9% from July 2021 to July 2022, and 0.5% from July 2022 to July 2023. The state has lost a net 533,494 residents in three years.

Oregon's Population Stagnation Endangers OR-06
Oregon is one of only 14 states to lose population since 2020 and OR-06 now ranks as the 452nd apportioned seat. The Beaver State will need a significant swing in its trajectory to avoid losing OR-06 in 2030.

Eight States Lost Population From July 2022 to July 2023
New York: -101,984 (-0.5%)
California: -75,423 (-0.2%)
Illinois: 32,826 (-0.3%)
Louisiana: -14,274 (-0.3%)
Pennsylvania: -10,408 (-0.1%)
Oregon: -6,021 (-0.1%)
Hawaii: -4,261 (-0.3%)
West Virginia: -3,964 (-0.2%)



2030 Apportionment Forecast - 2023 - The American Redistricting Project


Because you have a right to know.

 

[RickWA]

Your 2030 apportionment forecast (as of December 2023) is here:

View attachment 81886

Congressional representation is reapportioned every decade following the completion of the decennial census. The Census Bureau's most recent Population and Housing Unit Estimates were released December 19, 2023.


HIGHLIGHTS & LOWLIGHTS
South Carolina and Texas Lead the Nation
South Carolina grew by 1.7% from July 2022 to July 2023 - gaining 90,600 residents.
Texas gained 473,453 residents (+1.6%) over the same period.

Four States Gained More Than 100,000 Residents from July 2022 to July 2023
Texas: 473,453 (+1.6%)
Florida: 365,205 (+1.6%)
North Carolina: 139,526 (+1.3%)
Georgia: 116,077 (+1.1%)

Six Additional States Grew by At Least 1%
South Carolina: +1.7% (+90,600)
Idaho: +1.3% (+25,730)
Delaware: +1.2% (+12,431)
Tennessee: +1.1% (+77,513)
Utah: +1.1% (+36,498)
South Dakota: +1.0% (+9,449)

California, Illinois, and New York's Decline Continues, but More Slowly
The 2021 estimates showed California losing 358,140 residents (0.9% of the state's population). California's rate of decline slowed to a drop of only 104,444 residents in 2022 (-0.3%) and 75,423 (-0.2%) in 2023.
Illinois lost 0.8% of its population in 2021 and 2022 (-207,842 residents) and another 32,826 (-0.3%) in 2023.
At -2.1%, New York's population decline continues to lead the nation. The Empire State lost 1.2% of its population from July 2020 to July 2021, 0.9% from July 2021 to July 2022, and 0.5% from July 2022 to July 2023. The state has lost a net 533,494 residents in three years.

Oregon's Population Stagnation Endangers OR-06
Oregon is one of only 14 states to lose population since 2020 and OR-06 now ranks as the 452nd apportioned seat. The Beaver State will need a significant swing in its trajectory to avoid losing OR-06 in 2030.

Eight States Lost Population From July 2022 to July 2023
New York: -101,984 (-0.5%)
California: -75,423 (-0.2%)
Illinois: 32,826 (-0.3%)
Louisiana: -14,274 (-0.3%)
Pennsylvania: -10,408 (-0.1%)
Oregon: -6,021 (-0.1%)
Hawaii: -4,261 (-0.3%)
West Virginia: -3,964 (-0.2%)



2030 Apportionment Forecast - 2023 - The American Redistricting Project


Because you have a right to know.

 

[Zam-Zam]

View attachment 81888

"Morale is improving; desertions are down to five to ten a day".



The date makes it pretty clear that two things are true:

1) People are leaving blue states in favor of red ones, and

2) Blue states are losing political influence nationally as a result.


If there is a way to spin that as a positive for the left, I can't imagine what it is...Better parking?

 

[RickWA]

"Morale is improving; desertions are down to five to ten a day".



The date makes it pretty clear that two things are true:

1) People are leaving blue states in favor of red ones, and

2) Blue states are losing political influence nationally as a result.


If there is a way to spin that as a positive for the left, I can't imagine what it is...Better parking?

I think lefties would say that they are going to turn red states purple/blue.

 

[Zam-Zam]

I think lefties would say that they are going to turn red states purple/blue.

It could, in fact, turn some blue states purple.

I guess we'll have to wait five years to find out.

 

[RickWA]

It could, in fact, turn some blue states purple.

I guess we'll have to wait five years to find out.

Yep. It certainly did so in Colorado. Texas is less deep red than it used to be…but Florida is more deeply red than it used to be. It’s tough to predict. Some states like CO and AZ have become more purple (or blue in CO’s case). Some have seen the opposite trend. Time will tell.