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effect on vote

PhilFish

Administrator
Staff member
Obama wins! Obama wins!

if bayonets and horses float your boat, then O's your man.

Meanwhile back at the ranch... did the third debate change the tide? clear out the stables? put a bayo..er..fork in Rmoney? not hardly...
from CNN/ORC

"Overall, did tonight's debate make you more likely to vote for Barack Obama or more likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or did tonight's debate not affect how you are likely to vote?"​
25 % say ROmney, 24% say Obama... 50 % say No Effect..

What's the net..Romney done? not hardly.
http://pollingreport.com/wh12.htm
 
1. IF Obama gets no bump in the polls for this debate, the fat lady has sung and Romney will win.

2. Romney didn't do anything to "put off" women who don't like fighting so it helped Romney with the vote of women.

3. Obama made some "corpse" man-like mistakes. Nobody will care about that, but it's fun to tease about it. It will be out of mind long before the Democrats forget Quayle and potatoe (since they are still laughing at that even now).

4. Obama came out like a kid itching for a fight. Romney remained Presidential and didn't take the bait.

5. Romney, once again, laid out his plan for his Administration to take to get us back on track (see page 9 of the Debate Transcript).

6. Obama gave his plan on what he'd do with 4 more years in a couple of paragraphs on page 10. It was about hiring more math teachers.

7. Obama was snarky. Romney refused to take the bait and remained Presidential. Obama won on points, but at this late stage, points don't matter much. Being Presidential does matter. Nobody likes snark except the one doing it.

All in all, nobody's vote changed. By now virtually everyone has decided. Any remaining undecided will probably "decide" to stay home. And that is the real problem for Obama since Romney made it obvious that he is ready to be President.

It's going to come down to voter turn out. Who is more excited/pumped up/ eager to vote? Democrats or Republicans?

Prediction: Pre-election surprise = drone strike on someone Obama deems to be to blame for the deaths in Libya.
 
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