Arkady
President
Every year a series of tests measure educational progress in this country: the NAEP tests. These are arguably the best measure of how our educational system is doing, since unlike SATs, ACTs, and some others, the results aren't obscured by big changes in the share of people being tested. The latest results came out and there are some worrying signs -- some national averages declined between 2013 and 2014, which is contrary to the overall trend of improvement over time.
What went wrong? Tough to say. I've heard some blaming Common Core. Maybe. The most likely culprit, though, seems to be budget cuts at the state level -- those cuts took the form of lots of lay-offs of teachers, which you've got to expect to hurt. You can probably skate by for a while, despite those cuts, with good teachers sticking around, in the face of job insecurity and increased workloads, because they're "locked in" by their pensions. But job insecurity and increased workloads mean it'll be tougher to attract and retain good younger teachers, and eventually that's going to have an impact. No doubt further analysis will reveal interesting patterns.
In the meantime, if we'd like better education in this country, I think a good place to start is to focus on what is being done well and poorly already, and state-by-state variations allow that. The NAEP program publishes annual results for 4th- and eighth-grade reading and math. Averaging scores across all those tests, here are the top and bottom states, with the average percentage of students at or above the "proficient" standard.
The five best:
MA 50.25
NH 47.00
MN 45.00
NJ 44.25
VT 43.5
Also notable is that the Department of Defense schools came in at 45.75.
The five worst:
NM 22.75
AL 24.5
MS 24.5
LA 25
CA 27.25
http://www.nationsreportcard.gov/
Before someone pops in with the racist assumption that this is just a matter of whiter states doing better, I'll spare you the embarrassment by pointing out that's simply not true. Yes, New Hampshire and Vermont are unusually white, but Massachusetts and Minnesota are in the middle third of states for whiteness, and whites are actually under-represented in the DoD and New Jersey.
Note also that these are not small variations. The gap between the top-performing and bottom-performing states is more than a two-to-one difference. And the gaps can be even bigger at the elite level. For example, 14% of Massachusetts fourth graders read at an "advanced" level, versus just 4% at the lowest-performing state.
So, what drives success in places like MA, NH, and MN? What drives failure at places like NM, AL, and MS? Some of the answer is probably money. Rich states tend to thrive and poor states to suffer. But it's definitely not as simple as that. Delaware, Alaska, North Dakota, Connecticut, and Wyoming are the five richest states in the union based on GDP per capita, and only one of them comes out in the top ten for education based on this method (CT, ranked ninth). Meanwhile, Louisiana is actually richer than New Hampshire, despite NH being the second-highest-performing and LA being the second-lowest, when it comes to education. And, if we were to consider cities, D.C. has a GDP per capita twice as high as any state, yet has a proficiency average that's almost as bad as NM.
Does anyone have a list of educational spending per capita by state? That might give us a hint of what drives these differences. But I suspect one big factor would be hard to quantify: attitudes about education. If a culture values education, kids will get the message and study hard, to win some of that prestige for themselves. If the educated are ridiculed as pointy-headed geeks, it'll be hard to force education on kids. In Massachusetts, at least, there's little tendency to mistake ignorance for authenticity. We didn't find "misunderestimate" charming.
I'm betting you'd find some correlation between performance on educational tests and attitudes about climate change and evolution -- when politics or religion drive people to reject science, that takes the form of bashing the experts, and that sends a negative message to kids about the value of education.
What went wrong? Tough to say. I've heard some blaming Common Core. Maybe. The most likely culprit, though, seems to be budget cuts at the state level -- those cuts took the form of lots of lay-offs of teachers, which you've got to expect to hurt. You can probably skate by for a while, despite those cuts, with good teachers sticking around, in the face of job insecurity and increased workloads, because they're "locked in" by their pensions. But job insecurity and increased workloads mean it'll be tougher to attract and retain good younger teachers, and eventually that's going to have an impact. No doubt further analysis will reveal interesting patterns.
In the meantime, if we'd like better education in this country, I think a good place to start is to focus on what is being done well and poorly already, and state-by-state variations allow that. The NAEP program publishes annual results for 4th- and eighth-grade reading and math. Averaging scores across all those tests, here are the top and bottom states, with the average percentage of students at or above the "proficient" standard.
The five best:
MA 50.25
NH 47.00
MN 45.00
NJ 44.25
VT 43.5
Also notable is that the Department of Defense schools came in at 45.75.
The five worst:
NM 22.75
AL 24.5
MS 24.5
LA 25
CA 27.25
http://www.nationsreportcard.gov/
Before someone pops in with the racist assumption that this is just a matter of whiter states doing better, I'll spare you the embarrassment by pointing out that's simply not true. Yes, New Hampshire and Vermont are unusually white, but Massachusetts and Minnesota are in the middle third of states for whiteness, and whites are actually under-represented in the DoD and New Jersey.
Note also that these are not small variations. The gap between the top-performing and bottom-performing states is more than a two-to-one difference. And the gaps can be even bigger at the elite level. For example, 14% of Massachusetts fourth graders read at an "advanced" level, versus just 4% at the lowest-performing state.
So, what drives success in places like MA, NH, and MN? What drives failure at places like NM, AL, and MS? Some of the answer is probably money. Rich states tend to thrive and poor states to suffer. But it's definitely not as simple as that. Delaware, Alaska, North Dakota, Connecticut, and Wyoming are the five richest states in the union based on GDP per capita, and only one of them comes out in the top ten for education based on this method (CT, ranked ninth). Meanwhile, Louisiana is actually richer than New Hampshire, despite NH being the second-highest-performing and LA being the second-lowest, when it comes to education. And, if we were to consider cities, D.C. has a GDP per capita twice as high as any state, yet has a proficiency average that's almost as bad as NM.
Does anyone have a list of educational spending per capita by state? That might give us a hint of what drives these differences. But I suspect one big factor would be hard to quantify: attitudes about education. If a culture values education, kids will get the message and study hard, to win some of that prestige for themselves. If the educated are ridiculed as pointy-headed geeks, it'll be hard to force education on kids. In Massachusetts, at least, there's little tendency to mistake ignorance for authenticity. We didn't find "misunderestimate" charming.
I'm betting you'd find some correlation between performance on educational tests and attitudes about climate change and evolution -- when politics or religion drive people to reject science, that takes the form of bashing the experts, and that sends a negative message to kids about the value of education.
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