Arkady
President
The insane run of record temperatures continues. NASA announced that September 2016 was the hottest September recorded, globally, since the instrument record began in 1880.
http://abcnews.go.com/US/september-2016-warmest-recorded/story?id=42878806
NOAA, which separately tracks global climate data through slightly different methods found it was the second-hottest (after September 2015).
This isn't an isolated event. Lately, nearly every month sets a new record for that month. Here's what the temperature data looks like graphed, through 2015:
If you zoom in tightly, you can see that "pause" the denialists got all excited about a few years back:
As you can see, for the better part of a decade, global temperature averages were very nearly flat. Now they're spiking again. Presumably, at some point soon, the growth will moderate again for a time, like it did repeatedly in the past, and the denialists will again pipe up and insist global warming has stopped (or if they're feeling really frisky, they can tell us global cooling has started). But when you zoom back out and look at the big picture, the overall trend has been fairly consistent for about a century.
In fact, if you do a 2 order polynomial trend-line fit for the last century you get the following, with an R^2 value of 0.8621:
As you can see, it's not just that the globe is warming, but that the warming is accelerating, as predicted by the majority of climate change scientists. As crazy as that is, keep in mind, it leaves off the crazy-hot 2016, which is setting new records almost every month. Here's the data done by season, so that it can include seasonal readings for the first half of 2016 -- those highest two dots on the chart -- which should give you a feeling for just how crazy this year has been, even relative to the overall pattern of warming:
That black line is the five-year moving average, and as you can see it has practically gone vertical lately.
We've got a serious and worsening problem that is passing almost without mention in this presidential election.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/
http://abcnews.go.com/US/september-2016-warmest-recorded/story?id=42878806
NOAA, which separately tracks global climate data through slightly different methods found it was the second-hottest (after September 2015).
This isn't an isolated event. Lately, nearly every month sets a new record for that month. Here's what the temperature data looks like graphed, through 2015:
If you zoom in tightly, you can see that "pause" the denialists got all excited about a few years back:
As you can see, for the better part of a decade, global temperature averages were very nearly flat. Now they're spiking again. Presumably, at some point soon, the growth will moderate again for a time, like it did repeatedly in the past, and the denialists will again pipe up and insist global warming has stopped (or if they're feeling really frisky, they can tell us global cooling has started). But when you zoom back out and look at the big picture, the overall trend has been fairly consistent for about a century.
In fact, if you do a 2 order polynomial trend-line fit for the last century you get the following, with an R^2 value of 0.8621:
As you can see, it's not just that the globe is warming, but that the warming is accelerating, as predicted by the majority of climate change scientists. As crazy as that is, keep in mind, it leaves off the crazy-hot 2016, which is setting new records almost every month. Here's the data done by season, so that it can include seasonal readings for the first half of 2016 -- those highest two dots on the chart -- which should give you a feeling for just how crazy this year has been, even relative to the overall pattern of warming:
That black line is the five-year moving average, and as you can see it has practically gone vertical lately.
We've got a serious and worsening problem that is passing almost without mention in this presidential election.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/
