Yuri Zhivago
Mayor
the best and the most reliable forecaster in the industry:
To be sure, there are cases when a day’s worth of polling can have a material impact on the forecast. Wednesday was such a day, for instance. What you had on Wednesday was several different polls of several different swing states (Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania and Michigan), all of which were pretty favorable to Mr. Obama.
And just as important, all of them were from polling firms that had not shown especially good results for Mr. Obama previously.
Conversely, that the Pew shows a big lead for Mr. Obama is good news for him, but it was news that was already priced into the forecast.
Read his entire analysis here ...And just as important, all of them were from polling firms that had not shown especially good results for Mr. Obama previously.
Conversely, that the Pew shows a big lead for Mr. Obama is good news for him, but it was news that was already priced into the forecast.
