What the ?#$@#?

[PhilFish]

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

47 -46

 

[degsme]

Daily Tracking.. high level of variance and a 5 day trail... it essentially showing the fallout of 9/11 but without the Romney self-immolation.

 

[PhilFish]

and a post dnc decline..

 

[bdtex]

What does your gut tell ya? Go back and look at what the tracking polls,including Razzy,said about the state of the race on 9/18/2008. Not even close to the final result.

 

[degsme]

and a post dnc decline..

Not quite ... Post DNC bump up to 50:43... then a 3 point decline. Which is exactly what Nate Silver's analysis predicted http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/29/measuring-a-convention-bounce/

 

[BitterPill]

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

47 -46

This struck me right away:

Mitt Romney receives the vote support of about a third of those whose household incomes are less than $24,000 a year and of more than four in 10 seniors with low incomes -- all groups who are among the least likely to pay income taxes.​

He's going to lose.