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Initial Data on the Ryan "bounce"

I'm waiting till the convention numbers, if they look ANYTHING like Palins numbers kkkons will go nuclear, IE...they will just run around sayin there's a n***er in the White House
 
degsme said:
Initiall polling data on the "bounce" Romney should have gotten from the Ryan announcement is that IT IS UNDERPERFORMING

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...f-polling-and-ryans-bounce-so-far/#more-33192
Click to expand...

And here it is as of just a few minutes ago (see link for details):

Aug. 15: To Bounce, or Not to Bounce
By NATE SILVER
Wednesday brought more data that measured Representative Paul D. Ryan’s impact on the horse race. There was a new set of polls in swing states from the firm Purple Strategies, and there was a weekly national tracking poll from YouGov.

This set of polling was variable. Mitt Romney made clear gains in some of the polls (in Ohio and Virginia, among the states that Purple Strategies tracked), while his numbers receded in others (he lost two points relative to President Obama in the YouGov weekly tracker).

But if you simply average all the data that post-dates the unveiling of Mr. Ryan as Mr. Romney’s running mate, we’re getting largely the same story that we did on Tuesday. Mr. Romney has gained a net of one point, on average, in the eleven polls conducted wholly or partially after his announcement of Mr. Ryan, compared to the prior renditions of the same surveys in the same states. This is a below-average “bounce” for the selection of a vice presidential candidate; in past elections, the bounce has averaged in the neighborhood of 4 percentage points instead.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/15/aug-15-to-bounce-or-not-to-bounce/
Silver is being generous by including Gallup and Razzy. Those skewered polls have had Romney "leading" for most of the time, anyway.

Oops, and Washington Times, a well known nut-wing rag, says this:Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney did not receive an immediate bounce in his poll numbers following the Saturday announcement of Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan as his running mate, Gallup said Wednesday.The four days of daily tracking before Mr. Romney made the announcement gave the former Massachusetts governor a 1-point lead over President Obama, at 46 percent to 45 percent. In the four days after the announcement, Mr. Ryan moved the needle just 1 point, with Mr. Romney leading 47 percent to 45 percent.Jeffrey M. Jones of Gallup did write, however, that Mr. Romney may see a "delayed bump," as his Aug. 13-14 numbers were better than his Aug. 11-12 numbers.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/blog...ug/15/gallup-no-immediate-ryan-bounce-romney/That last line suggests that the WT doesn't want their gullible rubes to panic. Gallup is trying to reassure them.

Hey cons, you STILL have voter suppression.
 
YouCantHandleDaTruth said:
I'm waiting till the convention numbers, if they look ANYTHING like Palins numbers kkkons will go nuclear, IE...they will just run around sayin there's a n***er in the White House
Click to expand...

Yep, Truth. It'll be interesting to see how big of a convention bounce they get, and how long it will last...seeing how the Dem Convention follows it.

Ha!
 
whatta shocker -- I read a poll the other day that showed something like 58% didn't even know who he is.

that's a pathetic number imo, and sad commentary too
 
These numbers aren't really reliable enough to form a basis for decision-making. That said, if there had been a typical "bounce" from the pre-convention selection of a VP, it should have shown up. I just can't see the choice of Ryan exciting anyone outside of the GOP base. This was destined to be a non-event event from the outset.
 
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