Ohio remains unchanged: Obama +5

[Bo-4]

So tell us RW geniuses.. how will Willard win without Ohio? By sweeping every other swing state including the fools gold in PA??

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institute...-(fl-oh-and-pa)/release-detail?ReleaseID=1812

 

[Days]

I've been following this TPM map and today was the first day I see Obama's number go over 270.

Its still a very tight race, I wouldn't shave any mustaches just yet.

 

[GordonGecko]

Now, Bo.....WE ALL KNOW that that poll is nothing but statistical noise from an outlier within the margin of error caused by oversampling Democrats who didn't start buying gold in 2010.

 

[Bo-4]

I've been following this TPM map and today was the first day I see Obama's number go over 270.

Its still a very tight race, I wouldn't shave any mustaches just yet.

I don't have one so that won't be a problem ;-) Excellent news, hadn't looked at it today. So much for Mittmentum.

Btw, the president's approval numbers look excellent as well..

Gallup 10/26 - 10/28 1500 A 51 44 +7
CBS News/NY Times 10/25 - 10/28 898 A 50 42 +8

I think his handling of the Sandy situation will only enhance that. The whole thing makes Mitt look bad, from his wanting to end FEMA, to his distain for the environment, to his lack of compassion for the middle class (who are suffering the most) to his utter helplessness in doing anything about it other than to take pot shots at the guy who can.

 

[Bo-4]

Now, Bo.....WE ALL KNOW that that poll is nothing but statistical noise from an outlier within the margin of error caused by oversampling Democrats who didn't start buying gold in 2010.

Joe Scarborough said this morning that the people who believed that were kooks.

 

[Days]

I have it on secret squirrel authority that the Hurricane Sandy was a conspiracy plot hatched by our very own poster from Texas also known as SouthernGal... I would be nice to Sandy unless you want a superstorm tossed at ya.

 

[GordonGecko]

Joe Scarborough said this morning that the people who believed that were kooks.

Well, Joe may laugh....but I know a guy who KNOWS that he'd make a much better talk show host than Scarborough....

just like he'd be a much better economist than Paul Krugman....

a much better stock market analyst than Warren Buffet....

and a much better election analyst than Nate Silver.

But the "damn Marxists" and the "oppressive Socialist State" keep denying him his true greatness.

 

[Days]

socialists! you can't run government with them and you can't run government without them.

 

[Bo-4]

I have it on secret squirrel authority that the Hurricane Sandy was a conspiracy plot hatched by our very own poster from Texas also known as SouthernGal... I would be nice to Sandy unless you want a superstorm tossed at ya.

I wouldn't DREAM of crossing Sandy.

 

[Bo-4]

I think i know that guy.. where is he this morning with his Obamunist nonsense?

 

[Lukey]

We conveniently can't check the crosstabs on that poll but, from the looks of some of the results, it appears to skew Dem by 8 or 9 points. If that turns out to be the case and Obama is only up five points, that poll tells us something completely different from what you say it says.

 

[trapdoor]

Real Clear Politics has Obama up by only 2.4. Barely outside the margin of error -- within it for most of the polls in Ohio.

 

[Bo-4]

We conveniently can't check the crosstabs on that poll but, from the looks of some of the results, it appears to skew Dem by 8 or 9 points. If that turns out to be the case and Obama is only up five points, that poll tells us something completely different from what you say it says.

LOL.. Quinnipiac was THE most accurate state by state polling company in '08. But thanks for your expected response. ;-)

 

[Bo-4]

Real Clear Politics has Obama up by only 2.4. Barely outside the margin of error -- within it for most of the polls in Ohio.

Not if you take out Razzy.. who tells you guys ONLY what you want to hear. ;-)

Rasmussen Reports 10/28 - 10/28 750 LV 4.0 48 50 Romney +2

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...rate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

 

[GordonGecko]

I may not be able to predict elections?.....But I SURE can predict Lukey, can't I?

Now, Bo.....WE ALL KNOW that that poll is nothing but statistical noise from an outlier within the margin of error caused by oversampling Democrats who didn't start buying gold in 2010.

We conveniently can't check the crosstabs on that poll but, from the looks of some of the results, it appears to skew Dem by 8 or 9 points. If that turns out to be the case and Obama is only up five points, that poll tells us something completely different from what you say it says.

 

[trapdoor]

Not if you take out Razzy.. who tells you guys ONLY what you want to hear. ;-)

Rasmussen Reports 10/28 - 10/28 750 LV 4.0 48 50 Romney +2

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...rate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

Only in the Quinnipiac pole is Obama up by five points in Ohio. In one other poll, the Public Polling Policy poll, he leads by 4 points. In the rest, he leads by three points or less, generally within the margin of error of the polling. This is not exactly a strong showing for a popular incumbent with six days until the poll that actually counts.

 

[SandyinTex]

I have it on secret squirrel authority that the Hurricane Sandy was a conspiracy plot hatched by our very own poster from Texas also known as SouthernGal... I would be nice to Sandy unless you want a superstorm tossed at ya.

I heard that! ha ha This is what happens when I lose my temper and it's 'all' Mitt Romney's fault!

Hope you weren't too effected by that terrible storm.

 

[Bo-4]

Only in the Quinnipiac pole is Obama up by five points in Ohio. In one other poll, the Public Polling Policy poll, he leads by 4 points. In the rest, he leads by three points or less, generally within the margin of error of the polling. This is not exactly a strong showing for a popular incumbent with six days until the poll that actually counts.

Ohio Dems are famous for their ground game and 20% have already voted. Guess who's up 2-1 on the early vote?

Ohio is done.. set in stone my friend.

 

[trapdoor]

Ohio Dems are famous for their ground game and 20% have already voted. Guess who's up 2-1 on the early vote?

Ohio is done.. set in stone my friend.

Well, we'll know in six days. I personally wonder how the vote in Virginia will go. I tend to think Nevada is closer than the current polls show (but it's only 6 EC votes, so it may not matter one way or the other).

 

[Bo-4]

Well, we'll know in six days. I personally wonder how the vote in Virginia will go. I tend to think Nevada is closer than the current polls show (but it's only 6 EC votes, so it may not matter one way or the other).

You know honestly.. unless they make an awful lot of progress with restoring electricity and making the roads navigable out east within 6 days, they might postpone that baby for a week.