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Vegas Believes Trump Will Not Be Re-Elected

now_what said:
However, Democrats and Republicans have an even chance of taking the White House (-110/-110),

Trump re-election is anywhere between +125 and +130. Leaving room for another republican candidate to add into the mix.

If you were forced to bet D or R for even money (as Vegas is offering), which would you pick?

https://www.oddsshark.com/other/2020-usa-presidential-odds-futures
Click to expand...
So right now you get the whole field of Democrats against just Trump.
Guess what happens when the Dem field gets cut down to one? Their odds won’t get better, Trump’s will.
So adding to my list, you’re not good at approval polls or betting odds
 
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Dino said:
So right now you get the whole field of Democrats against just Trump.
Guess what happens when the Dem field gets cut down to one? Their odds went get better, Trump’s will.
So adding to my list, you’re not good at approval polls or betting odds
Click to expand...

That isn’t necessarily true at all. It depends on the candidate. Right now it’s 50/50 between D and R. If you’re so good at predicting the future, why not take vegas’ money?
 
now_what said:
That isn’t necessarily true at all. It depends on the candidate. Right now it’s 50/50 between D and R. If you’re so good at predicting the future, why not take vegas’ money?
Click to expand...

An incumbent President with a good economy is usually at least a 2-1 favorite against the field. Trump is even money at this time which means he is not in a very good place for an incumbent.

However it is real early as there are 10 1/2 months to go and many variables in this instance. There seems to be indications that some Trump’s closest associates are involved with Russian Mobsters. The recent arrests of Lev Parnas and Igor Fruman and Guiliani/Trump involvement with them and Dmytri Firtash is now under investigation.

Firtash is a high level Russian Mob associate and fugitive from US law enforcement. He appears to be the financier of the Guiliani/Trump scheme to undermine our foreign policy in Ukraine in favor of Putin and his international band of extortionists, embezzlers and murderers. Rudy and Trump have a lot of explaining to do regarding Parnas, Fruman and Firtash. It should be interesting to see how this all shakes out.
 
Jack4freedom said:
However it is real early as there are 10 1/2 months to go and many variables in this instance. There seems to be indications that some Trump’s closest associates are involved with Russian Mobsters. The recent arrests of Lev Parnas and Igor Fruman and Guiliani/Trump involvement with them and Dmytri Firtash is now under investigation.

Firtash is a high level Russian Mob associate and fugitive from US law enforcement. He appears to be the financier of the Guiliani/Trump scheme to undermine our foreign policy in Ukraine in favor of Putin and his international band of extortionists, embezzlers and murderers. Rudy and Trump have a lot of explaining to do regarding Parnas, Fruman and Firtash. It should be interesting to see how this all shakes out.
Click to expand...


Here's a hint on how it all "shakes out":

https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/1197491328206213121

Left wing conspiracy theory dud #88,926

Lulz
 
The bigger question is can America keep the republicans from working with the Russians to win again?

If the answer is yes then all 3 bodies are going to go D

The plurality of Americans don't like Republicans and normal humans don't like child abusing racist like Trump so ... no way Reps win without Russia helping them ... AGAIN.
 
Dino said:
So right now you get the whole field of Democrats against just Trump.
Guess what happens when the Dem field gets cut down to one? Their odds won’t get better, Trump’s will.
So adding to my list, you’re not good at approval polls or betting odds
Click to expand...
just the opposite. that is trump voter logic you are spewing. here is what makes sense- right now, we know trump is going to be one candidate (barring removal before then which is most highly unlikely, though warranted), and we do not know which democratic candidate will be the nominee...that means trump is more likely to win than any single democratic candidate, because we do not even know if he will be the nominee!! trump is going to be one, but his rival might be one of 3 or 4, so his odds have to be better....once the democratic candidate becomes the nominee, then any betting pools might mean something.
 
llovejim said:
just the opposite. that is trump voter logic you are spewing. here is what makes sense- right now, we know trump is going to be one candidate (barring removal before then which is most highly unlikely, though warranted), and we do not know which democratic candidate will be the nominee...that means trump is more likely to win than any single democratic candidate, because we do not even know if he will be the nominee!! trump is going to be one, but his rival might be one of 3 or 4, so his odds have to be better....once the democratic candidate becomes the nominee, then any betting pools might mean something.
Click to expand...
But that wasn’t the question here was it? You lefties are so easily distracted. It’s not Trump bs individual candidates. It’s general a Repub candidate (likeliest Trump) vs Democratic Party (the whole slate currently). That cuts things pretty close to a 50-50 bet.
So desperate to be right about anything.
 
Mick said:
Here's a hint on how it all "shakes out":

https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/1197491328206213121

Left wing conspiracy theory dud #88,926

Lulz
Click to expand...

OK, Trump/Guiliani involvement with Fruman, Parnas and Firtash is a left wing conspiracy. Fruman and Parnas have imaginary ankle bracelets on and Firtash has posted $150,000,000 in imaginary bail money while fighting extradition to the US on imaginary bribery charges too. Why is Rudy hanging out with these guys in his self admitted role as Trump’s advocate. Manafort, good buddy and co conspirator of Firtash is doing an imaginary, left wing 10 years in a left wing conspiracy jail too. Nothing to see here, right Mick?
 
Dino said:
But that wasn’t the question here was it? You lefties are so easily distracted. It’s not Trump bs individual candidates. It’s general a Repub candidate (likeliest Trump) vs Democratic Party (the whole slate currently). That cuts things pretty close to a 50-50 bet.
So desperate to be right about anything.
Click to expand...

Oooh....wait...is this a con that actually understands basic math? Is this a miracle? You understand that -110 = -100?

I almost fell out of my chair!

Can you go a step further? And understand that Trump is not guaranteed to be the nominee, so Trump versus whomever the D candidate is has a chance less than -110? I might be pushing it now...let's see what you've got!

Proud of you!
 
Put me on record right now, I don't only believe Trump will win reelection, I believe he will win in an historic landslide. I predicted Trump would win Michigan back in 2016. People scoffed and laughed at me, but I was vindicated. The truth is this, I didn't know a single Hillary supporter at the time. I didn't see a single yard sign for Hillary at the time. You know what has changed since 2016? There are more Trump supporters my way. There are even more people that are coming around to Trump and realizing his methods are working. So not only will Trump easily win reelection, he will pick up voters.

#WalkAway is real. You won't get the memo until 11/3/2020.
 
Neo In The Matrix said:
Put me on record right now, I don't only believe Trump will win reelection, I believe he will win in an historic landslide. I predicted Trump would win Michigan back in 2016. People scoffed and laughed at me, but I was vindicated. The truth is this, I didn't know a single Hillary supporter at the time. I didn't see a single yard sign for Hillary at the time. You know what has changed since 2016? There are more Trump supporters my way. There are even more people that are coming around to Trump and realizing his methods are working. So not only will Trump easily win reelection, he will pick up voters.

#WalkAway is real. You won't get the memo until 11/3/2020.
Click to expand...

You also thought that John James would win in a landslide. How did that work out for you? Act like Nostradamus all you want, but I've seen you make a lot of bad calls. I'll take this as a good sign for Trump not being re-elected.
 
Dino said:
So right now you get the whole field of Democrats against just Trump.
Guess what happens when the Dem field gets cut down to one? Their odds won’t get better, Trump’s will.
So adding to my list, you’re not good at approval polls or betting odds
Click to expand...


Old liberals are so predictable.
If it's betting or polls. The OP is on them like white on rice LOL

To show you how inaccurate either cn be.

Remember 2016 ?

November 1-2016:
Clinton remains a substantial favorite, with odds hovering around -300 – meaning one must bet $300 to win $100.
Meanwhile, Trump is in the range of a +275 underdog – meaning a $100 bet could bring in $275.
 
Neo In The Matrix said:
Put me on record right now, I don't only believe Trump will win reelection, I believe he will win in an historic landslide. I predicted Trump would win Michigan back in 2016. People scoffed and laughed at me, but I was vindicated. The truth is this, I didn't know a single Hillary supporter at the time. I didn't see a single yard sign for Hillary at the time. You know what has changed since 2016? There are more Trump supporters my way. There are even more people that are coming around to Trump and realizing his methods are working. So not only will Trump easily win reelection, he will pick up voters.

#WalkAway is real. You won't get the memo until 11/3/2020.
Click to expand...



Trump will win more states than 2016.
Win more electoral votes than 2016 - And lose the popular vote again (Thanks to Irrelevant Cali and NY).


The only way a D can win is if their sycophants try to crash the economy.
But in the real world- money talks. The markets don't care what letter is after a president's name.

That you can bank on.
 
Nutty Cortez said:
Trump will win more states than before.
Win more electoral votes than 2016- And lose the popular vote again (Thanks to Irrelevant Cali and NY).

That you can bank on.
Click to expand...

Ooh, you disagree with Vegas. Fair to guess that you "don't bet" though?
 
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