Watch out for Kasich...

[Lukey]

He's on meet the press just knocking the ball out of the park. He gets it - the math, that is. He's already mentioning Ohio's efforts to mitigate the worst aspects of Obamacare (no cost control). And he's already said God won't ask him if he kept government small but rather how he treated the poor. He is saying we need economic growth to support it though, and that's a fair point. He's pushing win-win solutions and I think that's a message that will play well. He's hitting on all cylinders. Can you tell I like him?

 

[bdtex]

He's on meet the press just knocking the ball out of the park. He gets it - the math, that is. He's already mentioning Ohio's efforts to mitigate the worst aspects of Obamacare (no cost control). And he's already said God won't ask him if he kept government small but rather how he treated the poor. He is saying we need economic growth to support it though, and that's a fair point. He's pushing win-win solutions and I think that's a message that will play well. He's hitting on all cylinders. Can you tell I like him?

He better get in the game and get some boots on the ground. OH only has 18 EC votes. FLA has 27 EC votes. Don't think the GOP cash cows aren't taking a real hard look at the EC numbers and the "path to 270". That's why it's very unlikely that Walker will be the nominee. He'd lose Wisconsin and having Rubio as VP wouldn't be enough to put Walker over-the-top in FLA. It'll be JEB.

 

[Jen]

He's on meet the press just knocking the ball out of the park. He gets it - the math, that is. He's already mentioning Ohio's efforts to mitigate the worst aspects of Obamacare (no cost control). And he's already said God won't ask him if he kept government small but rather how he treated the poor. He is saying we need economic growth to support it though, and that's a fair point. He's pushing win-win solutions and I think that's a message that will play well. He's hitting on all cylinders. Can you tell I like him?

I like him too.
He's a good man.
He may even deliver Ohio if he's on the ticket.
So................................. Kasich/Rubio?

 

[Lukey]

I like him too.
He's a good man.
He may even deliver Ohio if he's on the ticket.
So................................. Kasich/Rubio?

Or Kasich/Haley...or Kasich/Ayotte?

 

[Lukey]

He better get in the game and get some boots on the ground. OH only has 18 EC votes. FLA has 27 EC votes. Don't think the GOP cash cows aren't taking a real hard look at the EC numbers and the "path to 270". That's why it's very unlikely that Walker will be the nominee. He'd lose Wisconsin and having Rubio as VP wouldn't be enough to put Walker over-the-top in FLA. It'll be JEB.

I hope not! Unless Jim Webb gets the Democratic nod. And he might. Sanders' big numbers are "anybody but Hillary" - not support for Sanders and his socialist agenda. I'd happily vote for Webb.

 

[Jen]

Or Kasich/Haley...or Kasich/Ayotte?

Either of those.
How about Kasich/ Fiorina?
I still like Kasich/ Rubio. Hard to beat Ohio and Florida.

 

[bdtex]

I hope not! Unless Jim Webb gets the Democratic nod. And he might. Sanders' big numbers are "anybody but Hillary" - not support for Sanders and his socialist agenda. I'd happily vote for Webb.

Doesn't seem to be a groundswell of support on the left for Webb to get in the race. I doubt his exploratory committee has raised much money either. I think fundraising reports are due in a coupla weeks. Then we'll know.

 

[bdtex]

I hope not! Unless Jim Webb gets the Democratic nod. And he might. Sanders' big numbers are "anybody but Hillary" - not support for Sanders and his socialist agenda. I'd happily vote for Webb.

There is no "path to 270" for Webb. Nobody wants to talk about the "path to 270" on either side right now but you know the donors and strategists are looking at the numbers. Same for the nominating campaigns. It's all about the numbers.

 

[Lukey]

Either of those.
How about Kasich/ Fiorina?
I still like Kasich/ Rubio. Hard to beat Ohio and Florida.

I'm not a fan of her tenure at HP. She's good on the issues but probably too susceptible to negative advertising.

 

[Lukey]

There is no "path to 270" for Webb. Nobody wants to talk about the "path to 270" on either side right now but you know the donors and strategists are looking at the numbers. Same for the nominating campaigns. It's all about the numbers.

Now? Or ever? What was Obama's path to 270 in 2007?

 

[bdtex]

Now? Or ever? What was Obama's path to 270 in 2007?

He had multiple paths because he raised lots of money and had boots on the ground bigtime in every state. He had a tech savvy campaign in every state reaching voters in ways no other campaign had tried. Hillary didn't do that. That's why the big money went to Obama.

The Hispanic vote changed the EC landscape too. GWB got 40+% of the Hispanic vote in 2004 and still only got 50.7% of the popular vote and 286 EC votes. JEB and Rubio are probably the only 2 that come close to doing that but the demographics of VA make it unlikely that Rubio can win there.

 

[Lukey]

He had multiple paths because he raised lots of money and had boots on the ground bigtime in every state. He had a tech savvy campaign in every state reaching voters in ways no other campaign had tried. Hillary didn't do that. That's why the big money went to Obama.

The Hispanic vote changed the EC landscape too. GWB got 40+% of the Hispanic vote in 2004 and still only got 50.7% of the popular vote and 286 EC votes. JEB and Rubio are probably the only 2 that come close to doing that but the demographics of VA make it unlikely that Rubio can win there.

Maybe. But I think the internet changes all the rules. What worked in the past may not be the way it works in the future. This could be the lowest turnout vote in history. People are sick of politics because nothing the government does works. Things could be very different this time around.